There is a temptation to read current American foreign policy as incoherent. A transactional presidency dismantles alliances, antagonises partners, and lurches between confrontations without apparent strategic logic. On that reading, the contradictions accumulate until only one conclusion seems available, that the United States has abandoned the role of systemic manager. What that reading misses is that incoherence and deliberate disruption can look identical from the outside, and the distinction matters enormously. When adversarial positions begin giving way in sequence, the demanding question shifts from the coherence of American foreign policy to whether the apparent disorder is the instrument through which…
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