I Predicted the ‘Couch Problem’ Meant Tesla’s Optimus Was Doomed to Fail. Focusing on Factory Labor Flips My TSLA Stock Thesis on Its Head.

Since late 2024, Tesla (TSLA) shares have been stuck in a horizontal trading range. The stock is currently hovering near its 2021 peaks. Yet, the market values this prolonged three-year consolidation at a staggering $1.6 trillion in market capitalization. Tesla’s current valuation seems downright absurd to any analyst digging into core fundamentals and traditional valuation multiples, at least if one views the company strictly as a car manufacturer. See for yourself: Revenue is simply treading water just below the $100 billion threshold, lingering somewhere in the $90 billion range. Profits are moving at a snail’s pace, and net automotive margins…