US officials say Iranian ballistic missile and one-way drone attacks are down roughly 90 per cent since the war began on 28 February. Secretary Hegseth stated this publicly at a Pentagon press conference on 13 March. It has since become the dominant frame in Western capitals and broadcast media globally. That figure is accurate. But it describes attack tempo – how much Iran is firing now compared with the opening phase of the war. It says nothing definitive about campaign capacity – what Iran can still do, across multiple theatres, over time, with the forces and options it has left….
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