News Snapshot:
Over the past decade, Nike (NKE) has experienced an average earnings-related stock price movement of approximately 6% in the week following its quarterly earnings release. The at-the-money June 27th $60 strike straddle is approximately $5.70 as I write this, or 9.5% of the current stock price. Why is the options market anticipating so much earnings-related volatility? Based on alternative data, sales trends, and inventory metrics, Nike faces a challenging near-term outlook as it approaches its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report next week on June 26. The company is navigating a challenging consumer environment, intense competition, and macroeconomic headwinds, including, potentially,...