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Ukraine counteroffensive US intelligence gave a downbeat assessment in February of the prospects for Ukraine's expected spring counteroffensive, due to shortfalls in troop numbers and equipment deliveries. Only modest battlefield gains were expected. Ukraine air defence US intelligence warned that Ukraine was fast running out of its Soviet-era anti-aircraft missiles, which still provided nearly 90% of its air defence arsenal despite shipments of western systems. It predicted SA-11 Gadfly missiles would have run out by the end of March and S-300 missiles would run out by May, potentially ceding air superiority to Russia. The Pentagon advised looking for other sources…
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