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Under the Paris Agreement on climate, nearly every country will have to drastically reduce their carbon emissions, and they were supposed to submit renewed plans to do so by the end of 2020. The first raft of “nationally determined contributions” (NDCs) submitted in 2015 would put Earth on course to be at least 3 degrees Celsius hotter than pre-industrial times, a far cry from the Paris temperature cap goal of keeping warming “well below” 2C. Under the deal’s “ratchet” mechanism, signatories are required to periodically renew their emission-cutting plans to drive more rapid decreases in emissions. Roughly half of countries…
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